Jerome model in Wisconsin: Clinton is in the lead

The Jerome model provided an updated forecast of the election result. It currently predicts a two-party vote share of 55.1% for Clinton and 44.9% for Trump in Wisconsin.

Putting the results in context

Individual econometric models should be regarded with caution, as they may include large errors. At least, one should examine how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Comparison to other econometric models

Looking at an average of Wisconsin econometric models, Clinton's current two-party vote share is at 53.1%. This value is 2.0 percentage points lower than her respective numbers in the Jerome model.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The results of the Jerome model for Clinton are thus 1.4 percentage points above the combined PollyVote, which at the moment predicts a value of 53.7% in Wisconsin. In comparison, a look at the PollyVote national prediction for Clinton shows that the actual results are 2.0 percentage points higher.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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