The Jerome model provided an updated forecast of the election result. It currently predicts a two-party vote share of 55.1% for Clinton and 44.9% for Trump in Wisconsin.
Putting the results in context
Individual econometric models should be regarded with caution, as they may include large errors. At least, one should examine how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Comparison to other econometric models
Looking at an average of Wisconsin econometric models, Clinton's current two-party vote share is at 53.1%. This value is 2.0 percentage points lower than her respective numbers in the Jerome model.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
The results of the Jerome model for Clinton are thus 1.4 percentage points above the combined PollyVote, which at the moment predicts a value of 53.7% in Wisconsin. In comparison, a look at the PollyVote national prediction for Clinton shows that the actual results are 2.0 percentage points higher.