The Jerome model provided an updated forecast of the election outcome. The model predicts that Clinton will garner 46.6% of the two-party vote share in South Carolina, while Trump will win 53.4%.
Putting the results in context
Single econometric models should be treated with caution, since they can contain substantial errors. Rather, one should check how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Results in comparison to other econometric models
Looking at an average of South Carolina econometric models, Trump's current two-party vote share is at 55.7%. Compared to his numbers in the Jerome model Trump's econometric model average is 2.3 percentage points better.
The Jerome model compared with PollyVote's forecast
The results are consistent with the prediction from PollyVote for South Carolina. In comparison, a look at the PollyVote national prediction for Trump shows that the actual results are 6.5 percentage points higher.