Jerome model in Mississippi: Trump is in the lead

The Jerome model published an updated forecast of the election outcome. It currently predicts a two-party vote share of 46.2% for Clinton and 53.8% for Trump in Mississippi.

Putting the results in context

Single econometric models should be interpreted with caution, since they often include substantial errors. At least, one should examine how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Comparison to other econometric models

Trump currently achieves 56.2% of the major two-party vote in an average of recent econometric models in Mississippi. Relative to his numbers in the Jerome model Trump's econometric model average is 2.4 percentage points higher.

The Jerome model in comparison with PollyVote's prediction

The results were accurately predicted by the forecast from PollyVote for Mississippi. In comparison, a look at the PollyVote national prediction for Trump shows that the actual results are 6.9 percentage points higher.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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