The Jerome model provided an updated prediction of the election result. It currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 52.8% for Clinton and 47.2% for Trump in Washington.
Putting the results in context
Individual econometric models can incorporate substantial biases, which is why they should be treated with caution. Instead of relying on results from single econometric models, the evidence-based approach is to look at combined econometric models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that uses forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.
Results in comparison to other econometric models
Clinton currently achieves 54.1% of the major two-party vote in an average of recent econometric models in Washington. Relative to her numbers in the Jerome model Clinton's econometric model average is 1.3 percentage points better.
Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction
PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 55.9% of the two-party vote in Washington, which is 3.1 percentage points above the results of the Jerome model. In comparison, a look at the PollyVote national prediction for Clinton shows that the actual results are 0.3 percentage points lower.