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Maine: Jerome model shows Clinton in the lead


The Jerome model released an updated prediction of the election outcome. The model's forecast is that Clinton will receive 55.2% of the two-party vote share in Maine, whereas Trump will end up with 44.8%.

Putting the results in context

Single econometric models should be regarded with caution, as they can include large errors. Rather, one should examine how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results in comparison to other econometric models

Clinton currently achieves 55.4% of the major two-party vote in an average of recent econometric models in Maine. This value is 0.2 percentage points higher than her corresponding numbers in the Jerome model.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast

The results of the Jerome model for Clinton are thus 0.1 percentage points above the combined PollyVote, which at the moment predicts a value of 55.1% in Maine. In comparison, a look at the PollyVote national prediction for Clinton shows that the actual results are 2.1 percentage points higher.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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