Nebraska: DeSart model shows Trump in the lead

The DeSart model enters the econometric models component of the PollyVote forecast. The model expects that Clinton will achieve 35.9% of the two-party vote share in Nebraska, while Trump will end up with 64.1%.

Putting the results in context

In general, however, a good strategy is to not have too much faith in the results of single econometric models, as they sometimes incorporate large errors. Instead of trusting the results from single econometric models, the best practice is to look at combined econometric models or, even better, a combined forecast that draws upon forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

Comparison to other econometric models

Trump is currently at 61.3% of the major two-party vote according to an average of recent econometric models in Nebraska. Relative to his numbers in the DeSart model Trump's econometric model average is 2.9 percentage points worse.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast

PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 61.1% of the two-party vote in Nebraska, which is 3.0 percentage points below the results of the DeSart model. In comparison, a look at the PollyVote national prediction for Trump shows that the actual results are 17.2 percentage points higher.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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