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DeSart model: Clinton in Indiana trails by a clear margin

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The DeSart model enters the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote. The model predicts that Clinton will obtain 42.1% of the two-party vote share in Indiana, while Trump will end up with 57.9%.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, econometric models are subject to bias. Thus, as a general rule, don't have too much confidence in the results of a single econometric model. Rather, one should check how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results compared to other econometric models

An average of recent econometric models in Indiana sees Trump at 57.2% of the two-party vote. This value is 0.7 percentage points lower than his corresponding numbers in the DeSart model.

The DeSart model compared with PollyVote's prediction

The results of the DeSart model for Trump are thus 2.4 percentage points above the combined PollyVote, which at the moment predicts a value of 55.5% in Indiana. In comparison, a look at the PollyVote national prediction for Trump indicates that the actual results are 11.0 percentage points higher.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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