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DeSart model: Clinton with clear lead


The DeSart model published an updated forecast of the election result. According to this model, Clinton will achieve 57.3% of the two-party vote share, whereas Trump will end up with 42.7%.

Putting the results in context

Single econometric models can contain substantial errors, and should be interpreted with caution. At least, one should check how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results compared to other econometric models

Clinton can currently count on 89.1% of the two-party vote according to an average of recent econometric models. In comparison to her numbers in the DeSart model Clinton's econometric model average is 31.8 percentage points better.

The DeSart model in comparison with PollyVote's forecast

The results of the DeSart model for Clinton are thus 33.0 percentage points below the combined PollyVote, which at the moment predicts a value of 90.3%. In comparison, a look at the PollyVote national prediction for Clinton indicates that the actual results are 4.2 percentage points higher.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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