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DeSart model: Trump with very clear lead in West Virginia

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The DeSart model provided an updated prediction of the election outcome. The model currently predicts a two-party vote share of 33.2% for Clinton and 66.8% for Trump in West Virginia.

Putting the results in context

Individual econometric models can contain large biases, which is why they should be interpreted with caution. Rather, one should check how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results vs. other econometric models

Trump currently runs at 60.4% of the major two-party vote according to an average of recent econometric models in West Virginia. This value is 6.4 percentage points lower than his corresponding numbers in the DeSart model.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction

PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 61.9% of the two-party vote in West Virginia, which is 4.9 percentage points below the results of the DeSart model. In comparison, a look at the PollyVote national prediction for Trump shows that the actual results are 19.9 percentage points higher.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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