DeSart model in South Dakota: Trump is in the lead

The DeSart model is included in the econometric models component of the PollyVote. It currently predicts a two-party vote share of 37.9% for Clinton and 62.1% for Trump in South Dakota.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, econometric models are subject to bias. Therefore, as a general rule, don't rely too much on the results of an individual econometric model. Rather, one should check how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results in comparison to other econometric models

Looking at an average of South Dakota econometric models, Trump's current two-party vote share is at 59.5%. In comparison to his numbers in the DeSart model Trump's econometric model average is 2.6 percentage points worse.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 59.3% of the two-party vote in South Dakota, which is 2.8 percentage points below the results of the DeSart model. In comparison, a look at the PollyVote national prediction for Trump indicates that the actual results are 15.2 percentage points higher.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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