Hit enter after type your search item

Oregon: DeSart model shows Clinton in the lead

/
/
/
2 Views

The DeSart model published an updated forecast of the election outcome. The model forecasts that Clinton will collect 54.0% of the two-party vote share in Oregon, whereas Trump will win 46.0%.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, econometric models are subject to bias. Hence, you should not focus too much on the results of an individual econometric model. At the very least, one should examine how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results vs. other econometric models

If we look at an average of Oregon econometric models, Clinton's current two-party vote share is at 54.1%. This value is 0.1 percentage points higher than her respective numbers in the DeSart model.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 52.8% of the two-party vote in Oregon, which is 1.2 percentage points below the results of the DeSart model. In comparison, a look at the PollyVote national prediction for Clinton shows that the actual results are 0.9 percentage points higher.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

This div height required for enabling the sticky sidebar