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DeSart model in New York: Clinton with very clear lead


The DeSart model enters the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. It currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 62.4% for Clinton and 37.6% for Trump in New York.

Putting the results in context

Single econometric models often contain substantial errors, and should be treated with caution. At the very least, one should examine how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Comparison to other econometric models

Looking at an average of New York econometric models, Clinton's current two-party vote share is at 60.7%. This value is 1.7 percentage points lower than her respective numbers in the DeSart model.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast

PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 59.6% of the two-party vote in New York, which is 2.8 percentage points below the results of the DeSart model. In comparison, a look at the PollyVote national prediction for Clinton indicates that the actual results are 9.3 percentage points higher.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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