DeSart model: Clinton in Mississippi trails by a clear margin

The DeSart model is included in the econometric models component of the PollyVote. It currently predicts a two-party vote share of 41.4% for Clinton and 58.6% for Trump in Mississippi.

Putting the results in context

Individual econometric models can include large errors, and should be interpreted with caution. At least, one should examine how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Comparison to other econometric models

Looking at an average of Mississippi econometric models, Trump's current two-party vote share is at 56.2%. This value is 2.4 percentage points lower than his corresponding numbers in the DeSart model.

The DeSart model in comparison with PollyVote's prediction

PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 53.8% of the two-party vote in Mississippi, which is 4.8 percentage points below the results of the DeSart model. In comparison, a look at the PollyVote national prediction for Trump indicates that the actual results are 11.7 percentage points higher.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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