DeSart model: In Michigan trails by a small margin
The DeSart model enters the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. The model currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 52.5% for Clinton and 47.5% for Trump in Michigan.
Putting the results in context
Single econometric models should be regarded with caution, as they can include large biases. Instead of trusting the results from single econometric models, the best practice is to consult combined econometric models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that draws upon forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.
Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast
Clinton has 1.4 percentage points less and Trump has 1.4 percentage points more when the results of the econometric model are compared to the combined PollyVote forecast for Michigan.