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DeSart model: Clinton with very clear lead in Delaware


The DeSart model is captured in the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote. The model currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 91.9% for Clinton and 8.1% for Trump in Delaware.

Putting the results in context

Single econometric models may contain substantial errors, and should be interpreted with caution. Rather than relying on results from single econometric models, the best practice is to rely on combined econometric models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that incorporates different methods and data.

Results in comparison to other econometric models

Looking at an average of Delaware econometric models, Clinton's two-party vote share is currently at 55.4%. In comparison to her numbers in the DeSart model Clinton's econometric model average is 36.5 percentage points lower.

The DeSart model compared with PollyVote's prediction

The results of the DeSart model for Clinton are thus 36.7 percentage points above the combined PollyVote, which at the moment predicts a value of 55.2% in Delaware. In comparison, a look at the PollyVote national prediction for Clinton shows that the actual results are 38.8 percentage points higher.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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