DeSart model in Alaska: Trump with clear lead

The DeSart model is captured in the econometric models component of the PollyVote. The model currently predicts a two-party vote share of 39.9% for Clinton and 60.1% for Trump in Alaska.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, econometric models are subject to bias. As a result, you should not have too much faith in the results of a single econometric model. Rather than trusting the results from single econometric models, one should look at combined econometric models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that incorporates different methods and data.

Results compared to other econometric models

Trump currently achieves 64.6% of the two-party vote according to an average of recent econometric models in Alaska. Compared to his numbers in the DeSart model Trump's econometric model average is 4.5 percentage points better.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast

The results of the DeSart model for Trump are thus 0.7 percentage points below the combined PollyVote, which at the moment predicts a value of 60.8% in Alaska. In comparison, a look at the PollyVote national prediction for Trump shows that the actual results are 13.2 percentage points higher.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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