DeSart model in Maine: Clinton with clear lead
The DeSart model is included in the econometric models component of the PollyVote. It currently predicts a two-party vote share of 55.7% for Clinton and 44.3% for Trump in Maine.
Putting the results in context
Individual econometric models can incorporate large biases, and should be interpreted with caution. Rather than relying on results from single econometric models, the best practice scientific advice is to use combined econometric models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that draws upon forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.
Results vs. other econometric models
Looking at an average of Maine econometric models, Clinton's two-party vote share is currently at 55.5%. This value is 0.2 percentage points lower than her respective numbers in the DeSart model.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 55.1% of the two-party vote in Maine, which is 0.6 percentage points below the results of the DeSart model. In comparison, a look at the PollyVote national prediction for Clinton shows that the actual results are 2.6 percentage points higher.