Hit enter after type your search item

DeSart model in California: Clinton with clear lead

/
/
/
3 Views

The DeSart model is included in the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote. The model's forecast is that Clinton will obtain 59.9% of the two-party vote share in California, whereas Trump will win 40.1%.

Putting the results in context

In general, however, a good strategy is to not have too much faith in the results of single econometric models, because they sometimes contain large errors. Rather, one should examine how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Comparison to other econometric models

Clinton is currently at 56.6% of the two-party vote in an average of recent econometric models in California. This value is 3.3 percentage points lower than her corresponding numbers in the DeSart model.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction

PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 59.6% of the two-party vote in California, which is 0.3 percentage points below the results of the DeSart model. In comparison, a look at the PollyVote national prediction for Clinton indicates that the actual results are 6.8 percentage points higher.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

This div height required for enabling the sticky sidebar