Rothschild model: Clinton in Georgia trails by a very clear margin

The Rothschild model is captured in the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote. It currently predicts a two-party vote share of 1.0% for Clinton and 99.0% for Trump in Georgia.

Putting the results in context

In general, however, one should not have too much faith in the results of single econometric models, as they sometimes incorporate large errors. At least, one should check how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results vs. other econometric models

Trump currently achieves 54.5% of the major two-party vote according to an average of recent econometric models in Georgia. This value is 44.5 percentage points lower than his respective numbers in the Rothschild model.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 52.7% of the two-party vote in Georgia, which is 46.3 percentage points below the results of the Rothschild model. In comparison, a look at the PollyVote national prediction for Trump shows that the actual results are 52.1 percentage points higher.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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