The Rothschild model enters the econometric models component of the PollyVote. According to the model, Clinton and Trump will each receive 50% of the two-party vote.
Putting the results in context
Individual econometric models should be interpreted with caution, since they can contain large biases. Rather than trusting the results from single econometric models, forecasting research recommends to rely on combined econometric models or, even better, a combined forecast that uses forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.
Results in comparison to other econometric models
When compared to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed worse with 0.0 percentage points, while Trump did better with 0.0 percentage points.