The Rothschild model enters the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote. The model predicts that Clinton and Trump will each gain 50% of the two-party vote.
Putting the results in context
As any other method, econometric models are subject to bias. Hence, a good strategy is to not rely too much on the results of a single econometric model. Instead of relying on results from single econometric models, we recommend to rely on combined econometric models or, even better, a combined forecast that draws upon different methods and data.
Results vs. other econometric models
When compared to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed worse with 0.0 percentage points, while Trump did better with 0.0 percentage points.