Rothschild model: Clinton tied with Trump in South Carolina
The Rothschild model is included in the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote. The model currently predicts a tie, with each candidate receiving 50% of the two-party vote.
Putting the results in context
As a general rule, however, one should not have too much faith in the results of single econometric models, since they sometimes contain large errors. Rather than trusting the results from single econometric models, one should rely on combined econometric models or, even better, a combined forecast that draws upon different methods and data.
Results in comparison to other econometric models
In comparison to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed worse with 0.0 percentage points, while Trump did better with 0.0 percentage points.