Rothschild model: Clinton tied with Trump in Rhode Island

The Rothschild model provided an updated forecast of the election outcome. The model currently predicts a tie, with both Clinton and Trump ending up with 50% of the two-party vote.

Putting the results in context

In general, however, one should not have too much faith in the results of single econometric models, as they sometimes incorporate large errors. Rather than relying on results from single econometric models, the evidence-based approach is to rely on combined econometric models or, even better, a combined forecast that draws upon different methods and data.

Results in comparison to other econometric models

When compared to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed worse with 0.0 percentage points, while Trump did better with 0.0 percentage points.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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