Rothschild model: Clinton tied with Trump in Rhode Island
The Rothschild model provided an updated forecast of the election outcome. The model currently predicts a tie, with both Clinton and Trump ending up with 50% of the two-party vote.
Putting the results in context
In general, however, one should not have too much faith in the results of single econometric models, as they sometimes incorporate large errors. Rather than relying on results from single econometric models, the evidence-based approach is to rely on combined econometric models or, even better, a combined forecast that draws upon different methods and data.
Results in comparison to other econometric models
When compared to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed worse with 0.0 percentage points, while Trump did better with 0.0 percentage points.