Rothschild model: Clinton tied with Trump in Oklahoma
The Rothschild model published an updated forecast of the election result. The model currently predicts a tie, with each candidate ending up with 50% of the two-party vote.
Putting the results in context
Individual econometric models should be regarded with caution, since they may contain large errors. Rather than relying on results from single econometric models, research in forecasting recommends to consult combined econometric models or, even better, a combined forecast that draws upon forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.
Comparison to other econometric models
When compared to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed worse with 0.0 percentage points, while Trump did better with 0.0 percentage points.