Rothschild model: Clinton tied with Trump in New York

The Rothschild model is part of the econometric models component of the PollyVote. The model forecasts that Clinton and Trump will each gain 50% of the two-party vote.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, econometric models are subject to bias. Hence, a good strategy is to not have too much confidence in the results of a single econometric model. Instead of trusting the results from single econometric models, one should look at combined econometric models or, even better, a combined forecast that uses different methods and data.

Comparison to other econometric models

In comparison to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed worse with 0.0 percentage points, while Trump did better with 0.0 percentage points.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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