Rothschild model: Clinton tied with Trump in Mississippi
The Rothschild model is part of the econometric models component of the PollyVote forecast. The model currently predicts a tie, with both Clinton and Trump ending up with 50% of the two-party vote.
Putting the results in context
Single econometric models may include large biases, and should be interpreted with caution. Instead of relying on results from single econometric models, forecasting research recommends to use combined econometric models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that uses forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.
Results compared to other econometric models
When compared to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed worse with 0.0 percentage points, while Trump did better with 0.0 percentage points.