The Rothschild model enters the econometric models component of the PollyVote. The model currently predicts a tie, with both Clinton and Trump ending up with 50% of the two-party vote.
Putting the results in context
Individual econometric models should be interpreted with caution, since they can contain substantial errors. Instead of trusting the results from single econometric models, we recommend to rely on combined econometric models or, even better, a combined forecast that draws upon forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.
Results in comparison to other econometric models
In comparison to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed worse with 0.0 percentage points, while Trump did better with 0.0 percentage points.