Rothschild model: Clinton tied with Trump in Kentucky
The Rothschild model published an updated forecast of the election result. The model currently predicts a tie, with each candidate ending up with 50% of the two-party vote.
Putting the results in context
As any other method, econometric models are subject to bias. In general, one should not be too confident the results of a single econometric model. Rather, one should examine how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Results compared to other econometric models
When compared to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed worse with 0.0 percentage points, while Trump did better with 0.0 percentage points.