Rothschild model: Clinton tied with Trump in Idaho

The Rothschild model published an updated forecast of the election result. The model currently predicts a tie, with each candidate winning 50% of the two-party vote.

Putting the results in context

In general, however, don't have too much faith in the results of single econometric models, since they may contain large errors. Instead of trusting the results from single econometric models, the recommended strategy look at combined econometric models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that uses forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

Results in comparison to other econometric models

When compared to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed worse with 0.0 percentage points, while Trump did better with 0.0 percentage points.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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