Rothschild model: Clinton tied with Trump in California

The Rothschild model enters the econometric models component of the PollyVote. The model predicts that Clinton and Trump will each collect 50% of the two-party vote.

Putting the results in context

Single econometric models should be interpreted with caution, because they often incorporate large biases. Instead of relying on results from single econometric models, forecasting research recommends to look at combined econometric models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that incorporates different methods and data.

Comparison to other econometric models

In comparison to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed worse with 0.0 percentage points, while Trump did better with 0.0 percentage points.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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