Rothschild model: Clinton tied with Trump in Arkansas
The Rothschild model released an updated forecast of the election result. The model currently predicts a tie, with each candidate receiving 50% of the two-party vote.
Putting the results in context
Single econometric models should be interpreted with caution, as they often include substantial errors. At the very least, one should check how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Comparison to other econometric models
When compared to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed worse with 0.0 percentage points, while Trump did better with 0.0 percentage points.