The DeSart model is captured in the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. The model currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 46.4% for Clinton and 53.6% for Trump in North Carolina. In comparison, on August 14 Trump was predicted to collect 0.0% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
Single econometric models can incorporate substantial errors, which is why they should be interpreted with caution. Rather, one should examine how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Comparison to other econometric models
Looking at an average of North Carolina econometric models, Trump's two-party vote share is currently at 53.2%. In comparison to his numbers in the DeSart model Trump's econometric model average is 0.4 percentage points lower.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 50.5% of the two-party vote in North Carolina, which is 3.1 percentage points below the results of the DeSart model. In comparison, a look at the PollyVote national prediction for Trump shows that the actual results are 6.6 percentage points higher.