Minnesota: Virtual tie between Clinton and Trump in latest DeSart model

The DeSart model provided an updated prediction of the election outcome. It currently predicts a two-party vote share of 51.6% for Clinton and 48.4% for Trump in Minnesota. In comparison, on August 14 Trump was still predicted to win 0.0% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

Individual econometric models may incorporate large errors, and should be interpreted with caution. At least, one should examine how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results in comparison to other econometric models

Looking at an average of Minnesota econometric models, Clinton's two-party vote share is currently at 55.1%. This value is 3.5 percentage points higher than her corresponding numbers in the DeSart model.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 55.0% of the two-party vote in Minnesota, which is 3.4 percentage points above the results of the DeSart model. In comparison, a look at the PollyVote national prediction for Clinton shows that the actual results are 1.4 percentage points lower.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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