The DeSart model provided an updated prediction of the election outcome. It currently predicts a two-party vote share of 51.6% for Clinton and 48.4% for Trump in Minnesota. In comparison, on August 14 Trump was still predicted to win 0.0% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
Individual econometric models may incorporate large errors, and should be interpreted with caution. At least, one should examine how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Results in comparison to other econometric models
Looking at an average of Minnesota econometric models, Clinton's two-party vote share is currently at 55.1%. This value is 3.5 percentage points higher than her corresponding numbers in the DeSart model.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 55.0% of the two-party vote in Minnesota, which is 3.4 percentage points above the results of the DeSart model. In comparison, a look at the PollyVote national prediction for Clinton shows that the actual results are 1.4 percentage points lower.