The Jerome model published an updated forecast of the election result. It currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 52.2% for Clinton and 47.8% for Trump in New Mexico. In comparison, on August 14, Clinton was predicted to collect only 47.8% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
Individual econometric models may contain substantial biases, which is why they should be interpreted with caution. Rather than relying on results from single econometric models, one should look at combined econometric models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that uses forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.
Results vs. other econometric models
Looking at an average of New Mexico econometric models, Clinton's two-party vote share is currently at 52.6%. In comparison to her numbers in the Jerome model Clinton's econometric model average is 0.4 percentage points higher.
The Jerome model in comparison with PollyVote's forecast
PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 53.9% of the two-party vote in New Mexico, which is 1.7 percentage points above the results of the Jerome model. In comparison, a look at the PollyVote national prediction for Clinton shows that the actual results are 0.8 percentage points lower.