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Maine: Jerome model shows Clinton in the lead

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The Jerome model published an updated prediction of the election outcome. The model currently predicts a two-party vote share of 55.2% for Clinton and 44.8% for Trump in Maine. In comparison, on August 14 Trump was still predicted to gain 0.0% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

Single econometric models may include large errors, which is why they should be treated with caution. Rather, one should check how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results compared to other econometric models

Looking at an average of Maine econometric models, Clinton's two-party vote share is currently at 55.4%. This value is 0.2 percentage points higher than her respective numbers in the Jerome model.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The results of the Jerome model for Clinton are thus 0.4 percentage points below the combined PollyVote, which at the moment predicts a value of 55.6% in Maine. In comparison, a look at the PollyVote national prediction for Clinton shows that the actual results are 2.2 percentage points higher.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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