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DeSart model in Wyoming: Trump is in the lead

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The DeSart model provided an updated prediction of the election outcome. The model currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 25.4% for Clinton and 74.6% for Trump in Wyoming. In comparison, on August 14, Clinton was predicted to end up with 74.6% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

Single econometric models should be regarded with caution, because they can include large errors. Rather than trusting the results from single econometric models, research in forecasting recommends to look at combined econometric models or, even better, a combined forecast that incorporates forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

Results compared to other econometric models

An average of recent econometric models in Wyoming sees Trump at 71.2% of the two-party vote. This value is 3.4 percentage points lower than his corresponding numbers in the DeSart model.

The DeSart model in comparison with PollyVote's forecast

PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 70.8% of the two-party vote in Wyoming, which is 3.8 percentage points below the results of the DeSart model. In comparison, a look at the PollyVote national prediction for Trump shows that the actual results are 27.6 percentage points higher.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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