DeSart model in Massachusetts: Clinton with very clear lead

The DeSart model is included in the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. It currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 62.6% for Clinton and 37.4% for Trump in Massachusetts. In comparison, on August 14, Clinton was predicted to win only 37.4% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

As a general rule, however, don't have too much faith in the results of single econometric models, as they sometimes incorporate large errors. Rather than trusting the results from single econometric models, the best practice is to rely on combined econometric models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that relies on different methods and data.

Results vs. other econometric models

An average of recent econometric models in Massachusetts has Clinton at 62.1% of the two-party vote. In comparison to her numbers in the DeSart model Clinton's econometric model average is 0.5 percentage points lower.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 64.4% of the two-party vote in Massachusetts, which is 1.8 percentage points above the results of the DeSart model. In comparison, a look at the PollyVote national prediction for Clinton shows that the actual results are 9.6 percentage points higher.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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