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DeSart model in Maine: Clinton with clear lead

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The DeSart model is captured in the econometric models component of the PollyVote. The model's forecast is that Clinton will garner 55.7% of the two-party vote share in Maine, while Trump will end up with 44.3%. In comparison, on August 14, Clinton was predicted to achieve only 44.3% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

In general, however, you should not have too much faith in the results of single econometric models, since they sometimes incorporate large errors. Rather than relying on results from single econometric models, the recommended strategy look at combined econometric models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that incorporates forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

Comparison to other econometric models

An average of recent econometric models in Maine sees Clinton at 55.5% of the two-party vote. This value is 0.2 percentage points lower than her respective numbers in the DeSart model.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The results of the DeSart model for Clinton are thus 0.1 percentage points above the combined PollyVote, which at the moment predicts a value of 55.6% in Maine. In comparison, a look at the PollyVote national prediction for Clinton indicates that the actual results are 2.7 percentage points higher.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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