DeSart model in Delaware: Clinton is in the lead

The DeSart model provided an updated prediction of the election result. It currently predicts a two-party vote share of 91.9% for Clinton and 8.1% for Trump in Delaware. In comparison, on August 14 Trump was still predicted to achieve 0.0% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

Individual econometric models may include large errors, which is why they should be interpreted with caution. Rather than relying on results from single econometric models, we recommend to rely on combined econometric models or, even better, a combined forecast that incorporates different methods and data.

Comparison to other econometric models

Clinton currently achieves 55.4% of the major two-party vote in an average of recent econometric models in Delaware. This value is 36.5 percentage points lower than her respective numbers in the DeSart model.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 65.1% of the two-party vote in Delaware, which is 26.8 percentage points below the results of the DeSart model. In comparison, a look at the PollyVote national prediction for Clinton shows that the actual results are 38.9 percentage points higher.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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