The Jerome model provided an updated prediction of the election result. The model predicts that Clinton will garner 53.5% of the two-party vote share in Delaware, whereas Trump will win 46.5%. In comparison, on August 14 Trump was still predicted to obtain 0.0% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
As a general rule, however, one should not have too much faith in the results of single econometric models, because they can incorporate large errors. Rather, one should examine how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Comparison to other econometric models
Looking at an average of Delaware econometric models, Clinton's two-party vote share is currently at 55.4%. This value is 1.9 percentage points higher than her corresponding numbers in the Jerome model.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
The results of the Jerome model for Clinton are thus 11.6 percentage points below the combined PollyVote, which at the moment predicts a value of 65.1% in Delaware. In comparison, a look at the PollyVote national prediction for Clinton shows that the actual results are 0.5 percentage points higher.