Rothschild model: Clinton tied with Trump in West Virginia
The Rothschild model released an updated prediction of the election result. The model expects that Clinton and Trump will each gain 50% of the two-party vote.
Putting the results in context
Single econometric models often incorporate substantial biases, which is why they should be treated with caution. Rather than trusting the results from single econometric models, the best practice is to rely on combined econometric models or, even better, a combined forecast that uses different methods and data.
Comparison to other econometric models
When compared to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed worse with 0.0 percentage points, while Trump did better with 0.0 percentage points.