The Rothschild model enters the econometric models component of the PollyVote. The model currently predicts a tie, with both Clinton and Trump receiving 50% of the two-party vote.
Putting the results in context
Single econometric models often include large biases, and should be treated with caution. Instead of trusting the results from single econometric models, we recommend to rely on combined econometric models or, even better, a combined forecast that incorporates forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.
Results vs. other econometric models
When compared to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed worse with 0.0 percentage points, while Trump did better with 0.0 percentage points.