Rothschild model: Clinton tied with Trump in New York
The Rothschild model is included in the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote. The model currently predicts a tie, with both Clinton and Trump ending up with 50% of the two-party vote.
Putting the results in context
Individual econometric models should be regarded with caution, as they often incorporate substantial errors. Instead of relying on results from single econometric models, the best practice scientific advice is to look at combined econometric models or, even better, a combined forecast that relies on different methods and data.
Results in comparison to other econometric models
When compared to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed worse with 0.0 percentage points, while Trump did better with 0.0 percentage points.