Rothschild model: Clinton tied with Trump in Idaho

The Rothschild model released an updated prediction of the election result. The model currently predicts a tie, with each candidate ending up with 50% of the two-party vote.

Putting the results in context

In general, however, a good strategy is to not have too much faith in the results of single econometric models, as they often contain large errors. Rather than relying on results from single econometric models, forecasting research recommends to use combined econometric models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that relies on forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

Results vs. other econometric models

When compared to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed worse with 0.0 percentage points, while Trump did better with 0.0 percentage points.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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