Rothschild model: Clinton tied with Trump

The Rothschild model provided an updated forecast of the election outcome. The model predicts that Clinton and Trump will each receive 50% of the two-party vote.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, econometric models are subject to bias. Hence, one should not have too much confidence in the results of a single econometric model. Instead of trusting the results from single econometric models, the best practice scientific advice is to look at combined econometric models or, even better, a combined forecast that draws upon forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

Comparison to other econometric models

In comparison to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed worse with 0.0 percentage points, while Trump did better with 0.0 percentage points.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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