The Fiscal model model released an updated prediction of the election outcome. The model's forecast is that Clinton will receive 48.2% of the two-party vote share, whereas Trump will win 51.8%. In comparison, on August 9 Trump was predicted to garner 0.0% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
As any other method, econometric models are subject to bias. Hence, one should not rely too much on the results of a single econometric model. At the very least, one should examine how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Comparison to other econometric models
When compared to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed worse with 0.6 percentage points, while Trump did better with 0.6 percentage points.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
Clinton has 4.7 percentage points less and Trump has 4.7 percentage points more when the results of the econometric model are compared to the combined PollyVote forecast.