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DeSart model: Trump in Washington trails by a very clear margin


The DeSart model released an updated forecast of the election outcome. The model predicts that Clinton will collect 44.6% of the two-party vote share in Washington, while Trump will end up with 0.0%.

Putting the results in context

Single econometric models should be interpreted with caution, because they can include large biases. Instead of relying on results from single econometric models, one should rely on combined econometric models or, even better, a combined forecast that relies on forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

Comparison to other econometric models

In comparison to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed worse with 0.0 percentage points, while Trump did better with 0.0 percentage points.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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