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Rothschild model: Clinton in Virginia trails by a very clear margin


The Rothschild model enters the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. According to the model, Clinton will achieve 51.0% of the two-party vote share in Virginia, while Trump will end up with 0.0%.

Virginia is traditionally a purple state, where Democrats and Republicans have often won similar voter support. Therefore, the election outcome here is considered critical in determining which party will win the majority of electoral votes.

Putting the results in context

Single econometric models should be treated with caution, as they can incorporate substantial errors. At least, one should examine how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results in comparison to other econometric models

In comparison to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed worse with 0.0 percentage points, while Trump did better with 0.0 percentage points.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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