The Rothschild model enters the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. According to the model, Clinton will achieve 51.0% of the two-party vote share in Virginia, while Trump will end up with 0.0%.
Virginia is traditionally a purple state, where Democrats and Republicans have often won similar voter support. Therefore, the election outcome here is considered critical in determining which party will win the majority of electoral votes.
Putting the results in context
Single econometric models should be treated with caution, as they can incorporate substantial errors. At least, one should examine how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Results in comparison to other econometric models
In comparison to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed worse with 0.0 percentage points, while Trump did better with 0.0 percentage points.