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Rothschild model in Nevada: Trump with very clear lead

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The Rothschild model is part of the econometric models component of the PollyVote forecast. According to this model, Clinton will achieve 61.0% of the two-party vote share in Nevada, whereas Trump will end up with 0.0%.

In Nevada, the election outcome is usually decided by a narrow margin. This is the reason why the state is commonly referred to as a swing state, which makes it particularly interesting from a forecasting perspective.

Putting the results in context

Single econometric models often include substantial errors, and should be treated with caution. Instead of relying on results from single econometric models, forecasting research recommends to rely on combined econometric models or, even better, a combined forecast that uses different methods and data.

Results vs. other econometric models

In comparison to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed better with 0.0 percentage points, while Trump did worse with 0.0 percentage points.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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