Rothschild model in Washington: Clinton is in the lead
The Rothschild model published an updated forecast of the election result. The model currently predicts a two-party vote share of 5.0% for Clinton and 0.0% for Trump in Washington.
Putting the results in context
Individual econometric models may include substantial biases, which is why they should be interpreted with caution. At least, one should check how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Results compared to other econometric models
When compared to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed worse with 0.0 percentage points, while Trump did better with 0.0 percentage points.